On Thursday, March 26, 2020 at 11:25:35 AM UTC+1,
Has containment been abandoned in favour of delay? I
thought it was the other way around.
Yet another idiot who didn't actually listen to Boris
Johnsons speech. Or take any notice of what is
happening around the world.
The Imperial College paper, which changed UK
strategy, says on page 1 that "suppression"
(containment) is preferred to "mitigation" (delay).
It is. However it appears to spread in mysterious ways
and containment was simply not working. At the time BJ
gave his speech it may have been possible to contain
if the UK had been on immediate 100% lockdown.
But that would have required 100% isolation until such
time as there was no trace of the virus. 100%
isolation can only be maintained in small
zones....people do have to maintain food and services
atc....not to mention the medical care itself.
Even if the UK had somehow managed 100% containment,
it would have had to maintain completely isolated from
any country were the virues was ongoing. At the time
of his speech there were allready uncontrolled
outbreaks in Italy, Spain, Germany, France, NY/NJ and
quite a few other places; all of whom had passed to a
delay phase and therefore containment would have
required 100% isolation from these countries for
perhaps a year.
See paper here: https://tinyurl.com/imp-coll-covid
misplaced objective of herd immunity.
original strategy. The first things my friends in south
been. I'm surprised you seem to have missed it. You may
have also missed recent Boris's volte face.
South Korea have shown.