Post by The Peeler
MORE clinically insane bullshit from our resident clinically insane bullshit
Post by jew kike SHEENIE paedophile Barry Z. SHEIN's preferred jew aliash Ron Jacobson
BUTT EVERYONE KNOWS that jewdeo 'values' (paedophilia, shodomy,
deception, theft, treachery, lying etc etc) are DIAMETRICALLY OPPOSED
to Chrishtian Values!
BRUAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAA!!! Poor idiot!
The mangina misses his butt buddy Topaz.
Ronald Bailey writes about COVID-19.
COVID-19 Infections in U.S. Are About 10 Times Greater than Reported Cases,
About 40 percent of infected persons show no symptoms but may transmit
RONALD BAILEY | 7.22.2020 4:45 PM
(Katerina Sisperova | Dreamstime.com)
Researchers with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) have
just published the results of blood tests seeking antibodies for COVID-19.
This seroprevalence study in the Journal of the American Medical Association
(JAMA) scanned blood samples taken from more than 16,000 people from 10
areas around the U.S. during varying time periods in April and May. The
samples are not random but were gathered from patients who were visiting
their physicians or hospitals for treatments and checkups.
Based on these test results, the researchers conclude that at most of the
sampled areas "it is likely that greater than 10 times more [coronavirus]
infections occurred than the number of reported COVID-19 cases." In fact,
they estimated that the ratio of undetected infections to reported cases
ranged from being six times greater in Connecticut, to 24 times greater in
The researchers caution that "extrapolating these estimates to make
assumptions about population immunity should not be done until more is
known" about how much long-term protection against re-infection antibodies
may provide. They further note that their findings "may reflect persons who
had mild or no illness or who did not seek medical care or undergo testing
but who still may have contributed to ongoing virus transmission in the
population." The CDC recently estimated that about 40 percent of people
infected with the virus that is responsible for COVID-19 exhibit no symptoms
and the chance of transmission from such people is around 75 percent.
The researchers estimate in the JAMA study that the percentage of people who
had been infected by the time the samples were collected in April and May
range from 6.9 in the New York City area to 1 percent in the San Francisco
Bay area. These results are from early in the pandemic and estimates based
on later antibody testing suggest, for example, that more than 20 percent of
New York City residents had already been infected by the end of April.
What are the implications of these findings for the future course of the
pandemic in the U.S.? "The study rebukes the idea that current
population-wide levels of acquired immunity (so-called herd immunity) will
pose any substantial impediment to the continued propagation of [COVID-19
coronavirus] in the U.S., at least for now," states an accompanying JAMA
op-ed. "The size of the epidemic projected through early May 2020 in this
study falls far short of the estimated herd immunity threshold
ofapproximately60% to 70%." As the op-ed further observes, "Seven of the 10
are currently experiencing substantial, as-yet uncontrolled increases in new
COVID-19 cases." On the other hand, other very preliminary evidence of more
widespread T-cell mediated immunity to the COVID-19 coronavirus suggests the
herd immunity threshold could be closer than antibody tests by themselves
Parsing the data presented in the JAMA study allows for the very crude
calculation of the infection fatality rate (IFR) for COVID-19, that is, the
percent of infected people who will die of the illness. Dividing the number
of infections estimated in the JAMA study by the total number of deaths in
the various regions at the time the samples were collected, yields an
overall crude IFR of around 0.47 percent. This compares favorably with the
median IFR estimate of 0.5 percent derived from the well-respected machine
learning model developed by independent data scientist Youyang Gu. Bearing
in mind that these samples were obtained during the early part of the
pandemic, the IFR for the various regions in the study range from a low of
0.1 percent for Utah and a high of 1.4 percent for Connecticut, both in
early May. Earlier this month the CDC upped its overall COVID-19 IFR to 0.65
COVID-19 Infections in U.S. Are About 10 Times
Greater than Reported Cases, Says Study
The IFR for seasonal flu is conventionally estimated at around 0.1
percent—although some researchers think that's too high—which suggests that
COVID-19 is nearly 5 times more deadly than the flu. So far, more than 80
percent of U.S. COVID-19 deaths occurred in people over the age of 65 years.
This death rate is similar to CDC estimates that between about 70 percent
and 85 percent of seasonal flu-related deaths occur in people 65 years and
The JAMA authors conclude: "Because persons often do not know if they are
infected with [the COVID-19 coronavirus], the public should continue to take
steps to help prevent the spread of COVID-19, such as wearing cloth face
coverings when outside the home, remaining 6 feet apart from other people,
washing hands frequently, and staying home when sick." Until effective
vaccines become available, that's good advice.
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